Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 38
Dec 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Corinthians

Gremio
0 - 3
Corinthians


Reinaldo (25'), Monsalve (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Alberto (45+1' pen.), Charles (88'), Depay (90+3')
Carrillo (54'), Souza (65'), Bidu (90+6')
Andres Martinez (79')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Last Game: Vitoria 1-1 Gremio
Wednesday, December 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Corinthians

All competitions
Last Game: Corinthians 3-0 Bahia
Tuesday, December 3 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
GremioDrawCorinthians
46.53% (0.508 0.51)26.01% (0.11 0.11)27.47% (-0.616 -0.62)
Both teams to score 50.85% (-0.762 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47% (-0.785 -0.79)53% (0.78599999999999 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.41% (-0.672 -0.67)74.59% (0.673 0.67)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.24% (-0.101 -0.1)22.76% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.56% (-0.149 -0.15)56.44% (0.151 0.15)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.83% (-0.898 -0.9)34.17% (0.901 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.14% (-0.976 -0.98)70.86% (0.979 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 46.53%
    Corinthians 27.47%
    Draw 26.01%
GremioDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 11.51% (0.32 0.32)
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 8.52% (0.211 0.21)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.092 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 46.53%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.78% (0.238 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.35% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-2 @ 4.48% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 27.47%

Head to Head
Aug 8, 2024 1.30am
Round of 16 2nd Leg
Gremio
0-0
Corinthians
(Aggregate 0-0 | Corinthians win 3-1 on penalties)
Kannemann (45'), Costa (71')
Caca (26'), Charles (33'), Matheuzinho (56'), Henrique (71')
> Preview
Aug 1, 2024 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Corinthians
0-0
Gremio
Ramalho (81')
Raniele (54')
Marchesin (50'), Geromel (60'), Jemerson (70')
Nunes (90+9')
> Preview
Jul 26, 2024 12am
Gameweek 19
Corinthians
2-2
Gremio
Alberto (25' pen.), Garro (87')
Caca (40')
Ely (2'), Villasanti (76')
Geromel (31'), Ely (34')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 34
Gremio
0-1
Corinthians

Villasanti (45+1'), Suarez (90+7')
Alves (81')
Romero (32')
Caetano (15'), Menezes (18'), Maycon (42'), Romero (48'), Verissimo (74'), Fagner (90+5'), Ruan (90+9')
Mendez (10')
Sep 19, 2023 1am
Gameweek 15
Corinthians
4-4
Gremio
Santos (45' pen.), Verissimo (45+4'), Alberto (45+6'), Giuliano (67')
Santos (40')
Nathan (21'), Cristaldo (27'), Galdino (51'), Suarez (58')
Kannemann (54')