Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Cruzeiro
41.22% ( 0.46)	28.57% ( 0.48)	30.22% ( -0.94)

Both teams to score 45.06% (

-1.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.88% (

-1.93)

61.11% (

1.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.92% (

-1.47)

81.08% (

1.47)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83% (

-0.68)

29.17% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.89% (

-0.84)

65.11% (

0.84)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.62% (

-1.75)

36.38% (

1.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.83% (

-1.81)

73.16% (

1.81)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 41.21%

Cruzeiro 30.22%

Draw 28.56%

Corinthians	Draw	Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 13.07% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 41.21%	1-1 @ 13.22% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.74) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.56%	0-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.91% Total : 30.22%