Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Cruzeiro	Draw	Lanus
52.86% ( -0.06)	26.95% ( 0.12)	20.2% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 41.18% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.15% (

-0.43)

61.85% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.38% (

-0.32)

81.63% (

0.32)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.31% (

-0.22)

23.69% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.19% (

-0.31)

57.81% (

0.31)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.96% (

-0.32)

46.04% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.25% (

-0.24)

81.75% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Cruzeiro 52.84%

Lanus 20.2%

Draw 26.94%

Cruzeiro	Draw	Lanus
1-0 @ 15.7% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.33% Total : 52.84%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.45% Total : 26.94%	0-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 20.2%