Copa Sudamericana
Oct 23, 2024 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Kaio Jorge 50' goal
  • Ramiro 69' yellowcard
  • goal 29'
  • yellowcard Ramiro Carrera 45'
  • yellowcard Felipe Pena Biafore 55'
  • goal Ramiro Carrera 73'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Acosta 90'+4'

Cruzeiro vs Lanus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions

Lanus

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result

Cruzeiro 52.86% (-0.07)
Draw 26.95% (+0.12)
Lanus 20.2% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.18% (-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.15% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 61.85% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 18.38% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 81.63% (+0.32)
Over 4.5 7.42% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 92.58% (+0.18)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 76.31% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 23.69% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 42.19% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 57.81% (+0.32)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5 53.96% (-0.32)
Under 0.5 46.04% (+0.32)
Over 1.5 18.25% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 81.75% (+0.25)

Score analysis

Cruzeiro 52.84%
Draw 26.94%
Lanus 20.2%
Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 15.7% (+0.15)
2-0 @ 11.3% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.43% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 52.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.9% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 3.4% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 26.94%
Lanus
0-1 @ 8.46% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 20.2%