Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 46.22%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 24.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Lanus	Draw	Independiente
46.22% ( -0.43)	29.16% ( 0.18)	24.61% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 40.36% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.67% (

-0.37)

65.33% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.88% (

-0.26)

84.12% (

0.25)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.49% (

-0.41)

28.51% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.71% (

-0.51)

64.28% (

0.51)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.45% (

0.02)

43.54% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.25% (

0.02)

79.74% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Lanus 46.21%

Independiente 24.61%

Draw 29.16%

Lanus	Draw	Independiente
1-0 @ 15.57% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.49% Total : 46.21%	1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 12.41% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.42% Total : 29.16%	0-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1% Total : 24.61%