Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 17
Oct 6, 2024 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
  • Santiago Gabriel Montiel 18' goal
  • Santiago Gabriel Montiel 27' goal
  • Gabriel Avalos 63' goal
  • goal Guillermo Pereira 24'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Caro 26'
  • yellowcard Brian Sanchez 32'
  • yellowcard Damian Perez 46'
  • redcard Alan Barrionuevo 72'

Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 1, 2024 10.30pm
Tigre 1 - 1 Independiente
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Gabriel Avalos

Deportivo Riestra

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Sep 27, 2024 7.00pm
Deportivo Riestra 3 - 3 Newell's OB
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Jonathan Herrera

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 56.61%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 15.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.52%) and 2-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.43%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result

Independiente 56.61% (-0.43)
Draw 28% (+0.09)
Deportivo Riestra 15.39% (+0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

32.25% (+0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5 30.58% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 69.42% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 13.14% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 86.86% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 4.7% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 95.3% (-0.05)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 74.55% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 25.45% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 39.73% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 60.28% (+0.18)

Deportivo Riestra Goals

Over 0.5 43.26% (+0.57)
Under 0.5 56.74% (-0.58)
Over 1.5 11.11% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 88.89% (-0.33)

Score analysis

Independiente 56.61%
Draw 27.99%
Deportivo Riestra 15.39%
Independiente
1-0 @ 19.76% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 13.52% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 7.66% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 6.17% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 3.5% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.11% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 56.61%
Draw
0-0 @ 14.43% (-0.09)
1-1 @ 11.19% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 2.17% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 27.99%
Deportivo Riestra
0-1 @ 8.18% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 3.17% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 2.32% (+0.07)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 15.39%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 11
Mar 15, 2024 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Guillermo Laza
  • Pedro Ramirez 17' goal
  • Jonathan Goya 78' yellowcard
  • Jonatan Goitia 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joaquin Laso 24'
  • yellowcard Ayrton Costa 29'
  • yellowcard Lucas Gonzalez 35'
  • yellowcard Felipe Aguilar 43'
  • yellowcard Alex Luna 84'