Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 41.26%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 28.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.33%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Lanus	Draw	Cruzeiro
41.26% ( 1.98)	29.79% ( 0.19)	28.95% ( -2.17)

Both teams to score 41.42% (

-1.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.65% (

-1.11)

65.35% (

1.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.86% (

-0.78)

84.13% (

0.78)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.74% (

0.61)

31.26% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.39% (

0.7)

67.61% (

-0.7)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.26% (

-2.34)

39.74% (

2.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.59% (

-2.23)

76.41% (

2.22)

Score Analysis

Lanus 41.26%

Cruzeiro 28.94%

Draw 29.78%

Lanus	Draw	Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 14.44% ( 0.81) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 3% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.26%	1-1 @ 13.33% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.78%	0-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.44) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.48) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.42% Total : 28.94%