Copa Sudamericana
Aug 15, 2024 1.30am
1
2
HT : 2 4
FT Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
  • Alex Arce 14' goal
  • Alex Arce 14' goal
  • Lucas Piovi 19' yellowcard
  • Lucas Piovi 19' yellowcard
  • Freddy Mina 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Freddy Mina 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Gonzalo Perez 23'
  • goal Gonzalo Perez 23'
  • goal Marcelino Moreno 45'+1'
  • goal Marcelino Moreno 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Dylan Aquino 64'
  • yellowcard Dylan Aquino 64'

LDU Quito vs Lanus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

LDU Quito

All competitions

Lanus

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result

LDU Quito 57.43% (-0.07)
Draw 24.4% (+0.06)
Lanus 18.17% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.7% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.47% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 55.53% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 23.29% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 76.7% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 10.29% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 89.7% (+0.10)

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5 80.78% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 19.22% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 49.08% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 50.91% (+0.17)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5 55.34% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 44.66% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 19.34% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 80.66% (+0.08)

Score analysis

LDU Quito 57.42%
Draw 24.39%
Lanus 18.17%
LDU Quito
1-0 @ 14.15% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 11.67% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.42% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.17% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 2.65% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.13% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 57.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.58% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 24.39%
Lanus
0-1 @ 6.92% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 4.6% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.79% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 18.17%