Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
LDU Quito	Draw	Lanus
57.43% ( -0.07)	24.4% ( 0.06)	18.17% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 44.7% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.47% (

-0.2)

55.53% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.29% (

-0.16)

76.7% (

0.15)

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.78% (

-0.1)

19.22% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.08% (

-0.16)

50.91% (

0.16)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.34% (

-0.11)

44.66% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.34% (

-0.08)

80.66% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

LDU Quito 57.42%

Lanus 18.17%

Draw 24.39%

LDU Quito	Draw	Lanus
1-0 @ 14.15% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.74% Total : 57.42%	1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.61% Total : 24.39%	0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.61% Total : 18.17%