Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Aug 5, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez

Lanus
3 - 2
Tigre

Salvio (56', 56', 69', 69'), Bou (90', 90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Carrera (38' og., 38' og.), Monzon (73', 73')
Leizza (30'), Leizza (30'), Monzon (71'), Monzon (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Tigre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lanus

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-0 Lanus
Tuesday, July 30 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Tigre

All competitions
Last Game: Tigre 2-1 Deportivo Riestra
Monday, July 29 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 20.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
LanusDrawTigre
53.21% (-1.57 -1.57)25.83% (0.32 0.32)20.96% (1.246 1.25)
Both teams to score 44.93% (0.814 0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.55% (0.16399999999999 0.16)57.45% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.75% (0.131 0.13)78.25% (-0.13300000000001 -0.13)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.33% (-0.587 -0.59)21.67% (0.585 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.19% (-0.904 -0.9)54.81% (0.901 0.9)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.37% (1.458 1.46)42.63% (-1.462 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.02% (1.218 1.22)78.98% (-1.22 -1.22)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 53.21%
    Tigre 20.96%
    Draw 25.82%
LanusDrawTigre
1-0 @ 14.12% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-0 @ 10.8% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.51% (-0.338 -0.34)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.11% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 53.21%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 9.24% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.93% (0.149 0.15)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.264 0.26)
1-2 @ 5.14% (0.282 0.28)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.24 0.24)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.134 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.12% (0.085 0.09)
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 20.96%

How you voted: Lanus vs Tigre

Lanus
40.0%
Draw
40.0%
Tigre
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 10
Tigre
2-3
Lanus
Cardozo (14'), Nardelli (38' pen.)
Maroni (43'), Forclaz (74')
Moreno (30'), Bou (59'), Aguirre (63')
Aguirre (75'), Soler (85')
Oct 27, 2023 1am
Gameweek 10
Lanus
2-1
Tigre
Acosta (39'), Jose Caceres (78')
Perez (54'), Diaz (63'), Pena Biafore (90+4')
Luciatti (87')
Prieto (6'), Rojas (14'), Lopez (42'), Luciatti (63'), Menossi (74')
Apr 2, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 9
Tigre
2-1
Lanus
Sep 3, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 17
Lanus
1-2
Tigre
Acosta (46')
Aude (47'), Boggio (58'), Aguirre (64')
Retegui (3'), Castro (87')
Ortega (29'), Menossi (61')
Mar 1, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 4
Lanus
0-0
Tigre
Demartini (82')