Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 50.61%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 21.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.

Result
Tigre	Draw	Deportivo Riestra
50.61% ( 0.67)	28.27% ( -0.11)	21.11% ( -0.57)

Both teams to score 39.2% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.98% (

-0.12)

65.02% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.09% (

-0.08)

83.9% (

0.08)

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.84% (

0.26)

26.16% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.76% (

0.35)

61.24% (

-0.36)

Deportivo Riestra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.09% (

-0.68)

46.9% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.58% (

-0.52)

82.41% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Tigre 50.61%

Deportivo Riestra 21.11%

Draw 28.26%

Tigre	Draw	Deportivo Riestra
1-0 @ 16.45% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.79% Total : 50.61%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.38% Total : 28.26%	0-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.4% Total : 21.11%