Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Atletico Grau had a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for an Atletico Grau win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Atletico Grau
62.3% ( 0.03)	21.39% ( -0.01)	16.31% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 49.93% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.39% (

0.01)

46.61% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.12% (

0.01)

68.88% (

-0.01)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.61% (

0.01)

14.39% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.72% (

0.03)

42.28% (

-0.03)

Atletico Grau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.32% (

-0.02)

41.68% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.84% (

-0.02)

78.15% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Gremio 62.29%

Atletico Grau 16.31%

Draw 21.39%

Gremio	Draw	Atletico Grau
1-0 @ 11.62% 2-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.79% 5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.35% 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 62.29%	1-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 21.39%	0-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 16.31%