Copa Sudamericana
Apr 8, 2025 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Matias Arezo 37' goal
  • Joao Pedro 46' yellowcard
  • Cristian Olivera 67' goal
  • Rodrigo Ely 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Garro 17'
  • yellowcard Neri Bandiera 22'
  • yellowcard Diego Paolo Soto Vidarte 30'

Gremio vs Atletico Grau - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 3, 2025 1.30am
Sportivo 1 - 2 Gremio

Atletico Grau

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 3, 2025 3.00am
Atletico Grau 0 - 2 Godoy Cruz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Atletico Grau had a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for an Atletico Grau win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result

Gremio 62.3% (+0.04)
Draw 21.39% (-0.02)
Atletico Grau 16.31% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.93% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.39% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 46.61% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 31.12% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 68.88% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 15.45% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 84.55% (-0.03)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 85.61% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 14.39% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 57.72% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 42.28% (-0.05)

Atletico Grau Goals

Over 0.5 58.32% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 41.68% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 21.84% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 78.15% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Gremio 62.29%
Draw 21.39%
Atletico Grau 16.31%
Gremio
1-0 @ 11.62% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 11.27% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.86% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.28% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.38% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.53% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.09% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.37% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.2% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 62.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.17% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21.39%
Atletico Grau
0-1 @ 5.25% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.45% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.3% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 16.31%