Copa do Brasil | Second Round

Mar 12, 2025 at 10.30pm UK

Estadio Joaquim Portugal (Sao Joao Del Rei, Minas Gerais)

Athletic Club
3 - 3
Gremio

Francisco Trindade Braga (2'), Fumaca (47'), Lucas (90+4' og.)
Amorim de Freitas Filho (57'), Alves Miranda Junior (73'), Yuri (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Braithwaite (11'), Lucas (20'), Arezo (88')
Candido (38'), Camilo (69'), Arezo (90')
Candido (44')

Gremio win 8-7 on penalties

Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Second Round clash between Athletic Club and Gremio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Club

Last Game: Barcelona BA 1-2 Athletic Club
Tuesday, February 25 at 10.30pm in Copa do Brasil

Gremio

All competitions

Copa do Brasil

Last Game: Sao Raimundo 1-1 Gremio (1-4 pen.)
Wednesday, February 19 at 10.30pm in Copa do Brasil

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Athletic Club had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Athletic Club win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%).

Result
Athletic Club	Draw	Gremio
30.71% ( 0)	27.69% ( -0)	41.59% ( -0)

Both teams to score 47.69% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.08% (

57.92% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.37% (

78.62% (

-0)

Athletic Club Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.71% (

34.29% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.01% (

70.99% (

-0)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.57%

27.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.09%

62.91%

Score Analysis

Athletic Club 30.71%

Gremio 41.59%

Draw 27.69%

Athletic Club	Draw	Gremio
1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.39% 3-1 @ 2.49% 3-0 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.28% Total : 30.71%	1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 9.41% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.69%	0-1 @ 12.16% 1-2 @ 8.42% 0-2 @ 7.87% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.63% 0-3 @ 3.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.89% Total : 41.59%