Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Gremio
Mar 29, 2025 9.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Arena do Gremio
Atletico Mineiro
  • Matias Arezo 33' goal
  • Wagner Leonardo 39' yellowcard
  • Edenilson 45' goal
  • Jemerson 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Cristian Pavon 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Cristian Olivera 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Rony 75'

Gremio vs Atletico Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
Dec 8, 2024 7.00pm
Gremio 0 - 3 Corinthians
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Martin Braithwaite

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Dec 8, 2024 7.00pm
Atletico Mineiro 1 - 0 Athletico PR
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Rony

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result

Gremio 40.22% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 26.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Atletico Mineiro 33.06% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.38% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.41% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 53.58% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 24.91% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 75.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 4.5 11.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 88.69% ▲ (+0.02)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 73.84% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 26.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 38.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 61.23%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 69.58% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 30.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 33.38% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 66.62% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Gremio 40.21%
Draw 26.71%
Atletico Mineiro 33.06%
Gremio
1-0 @ 10.66% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.52% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.16% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 40.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 7.96% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.71%
Atletico Mineiro
0-1 @ 9.47% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.06%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Atletico Mineiro
Oct 9, 2024 11.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Arena MRV
Gremio
  • Hulk 11' goal
  • Lyanco 18' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Milito 19' yellowcard
  • Deyverson 39' goal
  • Deyverson 54' yellowcard
  • Fausto Vera 55' yellowcard
  • Hulk 90' yellowcard
  • goal Alexander Aravena 24'
  • yellowcard Jemerson 33'
  • yellowcard Agustin Marchesin 35'
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 54'
Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Gremio
Sep 1, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT Arena do Gremio
Atletico Mineiro
  • Gustavo Martins 20' redcard
  • Martin Braithwaite 32' goal
  • Franco Cristaldo 42' goal
  • Walter Kannemann 71' yellowcard
  • Agustin Marchesin 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bernard 29'
  • yellowcard Deyverson 40'
  • goal Gustavo Scarpa 73'
  • yellowcard Brahian Palacios 78'
  • goal Brahian Palacios 90'+3'
  • goal Eduardo Vargas 90'+6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 35
Atletico Mineiro
Nov 26, 2023 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Raimundo Sampaio
Gremio
  • Guilherme Arana 25' goal
  • Edenilson 36' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Lemos 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Matias Zaracho 50' goal
  • Hulk 58' goal
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 50'
  • yellowcard Fabio Da Silva 84'
Brasileiro Gameweek 16
Gremio
Jul 23, 2023 1.00am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Arena do Gremio
Atletico Mineiro
  • Bruno Uvini 5' yellowcard
  • Ronald Cardoso Falkoski 11' goal
  • Ronald 11' goal
  • Reinaldo 62' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Grando 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rubens 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Renzo Saravia 76'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Lemos 89'
  • yellowcard Alisson Santana 89'
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Gremio
Dec 10, 2021 12.30am
4
3
HT : 3 2
FT
Atletico Mineiro
  • Diego Souza 6' goal
  • Leandro Campaz 11' goal
  • Diego Souza 20' goal
  • Thiago 37' yellowcard
  • Douglas Costa 42' yellowcard
  • Douglas Costa 59' goal
  • Diogo Barbosa 71' yellowcard
  • goal Dodo 26'
  • goal Eduardo Vargas 35'
  • yellowcard Dylan Borrero 62'
  • goal Hyoran 90'+1'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Atletico Mineiro
Nov 4, 2021 12.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Gremio
  • Matias Zaracho 12' goal
  • Matias Zaracho 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Tche Tche 50' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Fernandez 53' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Vargas 75' goal
  • Mariano 78' yellowcard
  • Allan Rodrigues de Souza 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Silva 36'
  • yellowcard Miguel Borja 38'
  • goal Leandro Campaz 56'
  • yellowcard Pedro Geromel 58'
  • yellowcard Leandro Campaz 73'
  • yellowcard Douglas Costa 81'
  • yellowcard Rafinha 90'+4'

Form Data

Athletic Club 3 - 3 Gremio
Sao Raimundo 1 - 1 Gremio
Gremio 0 - 3 Corinthians
Vitoria 1 - 1 Gremio
Gremio 2 - 1 Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Gremio
Atletico Mineiro 4 - 1 Manaus
Tocantinopolis 0 - 2 Atletico Mineiro
Atletico Mineiro 1 - 0 Athletico PR
Vasco 2 - 0 Atletico Mineiro
Atletico Mineiro 1 - 3 Botafogo
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 3 Juventude