Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Final

Nov 30, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

Atletico Mineiro
1 - 3
Botafogo

Vargas (47')
Battaglia (30'), Lyanco (45+1'), Vera (45+2'), Almada (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Henrique (35'), Telles (44' pen.), Santos (90+7')
Telles (45+3'), Almada (79'), Hulk (90+4'), Vitinho (90+9'), Santos (90+9')
Gregore (2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Mineiro and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-3 Juventude
Wednesday, November 27 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Botafogo

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Palmeiras 1-3 Botafogo
Wednesday, November 27 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Botafogo
35.33% ( -0)	27.45% ( -0)	37.22% ( 0)

Both teams to score 49.44% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.8%

56.2% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.75% (

77.25% (

-0)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.73% (

-0)

30.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.56% (

-0)

66.43% (

-0)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.9% (

29.1% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.98% (

65.02% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 35.32%

Botafogo 37.22%

Draw 27.45%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 6.29% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 35.32%	1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 8.81% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.45%	0-1 @ 10.87% 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.3% 0-3 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.22%