Copa Libertadores
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Nov 30, 2024 8.00pm
1
3
HT :
0
2
FT
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
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-
Rodrigo Battaglia
30'
-
Lyanco
45'+1'
-
Eduardo Vargas
47'
-
Fausto Vera
45'+2'
-
Thiago Almada
90'+2'
-
Gregore
2'
-
Luiz Henrique
35'
-
Alex Telles
44'
-
Alex Telles
45'+3'
-
Thiago Almada
79'
-
Hulk
90'+4'
-
Junior Santos
90'+7'
-
Vitinho
90'+9'
-
Junior Santos
90'+9'
Atletico Mineiro vs Botafogo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.
Result
Atletico Mineiro
35.33%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
27.45%
▼
(-0.01)
Botafogo
37.22%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
49.44%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.8%
Under 2.5
56.2%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
22.75%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
77.25%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
9.96%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
90.04%
▼
(-0.01)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5
69.73%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
30.26%
Over 1.5
33.56%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
66.43%
▼
(-0.01)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5
70.9%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
29.1%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
34.98%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
65.02%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Atletico Mineiro
35.32%
Draw
27.45%
Botafogo
37.22%
Atletico Mineiro
1-0
@
10.52%
2-1 @ 7.77%
2-0 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.09%
3-0 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.91%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 35.32%
2-1 @ 7.77%
2-0 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.09%
3-0 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.91%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 35.32%
Draw
1-1
@
12.99%
0-0 @ 8.81% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.79%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.45%
0-0 @ 8.81% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.79%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.45%
Botafogo
0-1
@
10.87%
1-2 @ 8.02% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.3%
0-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 1.97%
1-4 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 37.22%
1-2 @ 8.02% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.3%
0-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 1.97%
1-4 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 37.22%
Head to Head
Brasileiro
Gameweek
34
-
Rubens
37'
-
Rubens
37'
-
Rubens
40'
-
Rubens
40'
-
Deyverson
45'
-
Deyverson
45'
-
Lyanco
71'
-
Lyanco
71'
-
Matheus Mendes
77'
-
Matheus Mendes
77'
-
Matias Zaracho
82'
-
Matias Zaracho
82'
-
Igor Rabello
90'+7'
-
Igor Rabello
90'+7'
-
Alexander Barboza
90'+3'
-
Alexander Barboza
90'+3'
-
Alexander Barboza
90'+7'
-
Alexander Barboza
90'+7'
-
Luiz Henrique
90'+10'
Brasileiro
Gameweek
15
-
Luiz Henrique
13'
-
Luiz Henrique
13'
-
Bastos
17'
-
Bastos
17'
-
Tiquinho
21'
-
Tiquinho
21'
-
Cuiabano
79'
-
Cuiabano
79'
-
Jefferson Savarino
90'+4'
-
Jefferson Savarino
90'+4'
-
Igor Rabello
24'
-
Igor Rabello
24'
-
Brahian Palacios
84'
-
Brahian Palacios
84'
Brasileiro
Gameweek
23
-
Mariano
45'
-
Mariano
45'
-
Paulinho
81'
-
Paulinho
81'
-
Matias Zaracho
90'+1'
-
Matias Zaracho
90'+1'
-
Leonel Di Placido
28'
-
Leonel Di Placido
28'
Brasileiro
Gameweek
4
-
Joao Victor
30'
-
Matheus Nascimento
60'
Brasileiro
Gameweek
36
-
Joao Victor
75'
-
Tiquinho
84'
Brasileiro
Gameweek
17
-
Tche Tche
30'
-
Diego Goncalves
45'+7'
-
Romildo Del Piage
82'
-
Lucas Mezenga
90'+5'
-
Igor Rabello
31'
-
Allan Rodrigues de Souza
40'
-
Matias Zaracho
55'
-
Mariano
72'