Brasileiro | Gameweek 19

Nov 16, 2024 at 9.30pm UK

Arena de Baixada

Athletico PR
1 - 0
Atletico Mineiro

Cuello (28')
Pablo (18'), Nikao (59')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Scarpa (27'), Lyanco (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, November 10 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Flamengo 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, November 13 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 47.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 25.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for an Atletico Mineiro win it was 0-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
47.37% ( -0.27)	26.74% ( 0.31)	25.89% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 47.53% (

-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.28% (

-1.18)

56.71% (

1.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.33% (

-0.96)

77.67% (

0.96)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.04% (

-0.64)

23.96% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.8% (

-0.92)

58.2% (

0.92)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.51% (

-0.68)

37.49% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.72% (

-0.68)

74.27% (

0.68)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 47.37%

Atletico Mineiro 25.89%

Draw 26.74%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 12.83% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.53% Total : 47.37%	1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.7% Total : 25.89%