Copa do Brasil | Final | 1st Leg

Nov 3, 2024 at 7pm UK

Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Flamengo
3 - 1
Atletico Mineiro

(Flamengo win 4-1 on aggregate)

De Arrascaeta (11'), Barbosa (39', 74')
Sandro (56')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kardec (80')
Arana (54'), Everson (90+7')

Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Final clash between Flamengo and Atletico Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions

Copa do Brasil

Last Game: Internacional 1-1 Flamengo
Wednesday, October 30 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Copa do Brasil

Last Game: River Plate 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, October 30 at 12.45am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for an Atletico Mineiro win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
58.87% ( -0.01)	23.15% ( -0)	17.97% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 47.85% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.87% (

0.04)

51.13% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.02% (

0.04)

72.98% (

-0.03)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.94% (

0.01)

17.06% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.77% (

0.02)

47.23% (

-0.01)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.69% (

0.05)

42.3% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.3% (

0.04)

78.7% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 58.86%

Atletico Mineiro 17.97%

Draw 23.15%

Flamengo	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 12.76% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.65% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.68% Total : 58.86%	1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 23.15%	0-1 @ 6.21% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.72% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 17.97%