Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 6
Oct 9, 2024 at 11.30pm UK
Arena MRV
Gremio

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 1
Gremio

Hulk (11' pen.), Deyverson (39')
Lyanco (18'), Milito (19'), Deyverson (54'), Vera (55'), Hulk (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Aravena (24')
Jemerson (33'), Marchesin (35'), Reinaldo (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-2 Vitoria
Saturday, October 5 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro

Gremio

All competitions
Last Game: Gremio 3-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, October 5 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 22.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawGremio
51.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.04% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)22.37% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 46.07% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.13% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)56.87% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.21% (0.004999999999999 0)77.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.87% (0.0010000000000048 0)22.13% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.5% (0.0010000000000048 0)55.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.16% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)40.84% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)77.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 51.59%
    Gremio 22.37%
    Draw 26.03%
Atletico MineiroDrawGremio
1-0 @ 13.63%
2-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 9.21%
3-0 @ 5.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.63%
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 51.59%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 9.04% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.09%
1-2 @ 5.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.62%
1-3 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.23%
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 22.37%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio

Atletico Mineiro
49.0%
Draw
37.3%
Gremio
13.7%
51
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 25
Gremio
2-3
Atletico Mineiro
Braithwaite (32'), Cristaldo (42')
Kannemann (71'), Marchesin (90+9')
Martins (20')
Scarpa (73' pen.), Palacios (90+3' pen.), Vargas (90+6')
Bernard (29'), Deyverson (40'), Palacios (78')
Nov 26, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 35
Atletico Mineiro
3-0
Gremio
Arana (25'), Zaracho (50'), Hulk (58')
Edenilson (36'), Lemos (45+3')

Suarez (50'), Da Silva (84')
Jul 23, 2023 1am
Gameweek 16
Gremio
1-0
Atletico Mineiro
Ronald (11')
Uvini (5'), Reinaldo (62'), Grando (84')

Rubens (45+5'), Saravia (76'), Lemos (89'), Santana (89')
> Preview
Dec 10, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 38
Gremio
4-3
Atletico Mineiro
> Preview
Nov 4, 2021 12am
Gameweek 19
Atletico Mineiro
2-1
Gremio
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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