Atletico Mineiro
Copa do Brasil | Second Round
Mar 5, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Arena MRV

Atletico Mineiro
4 - 1
Manaus

Santana (18'), Cuello (32'), Rony (48'), Deyverson (65')
Lyanco (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Pereira Muniz Oliveira (52')
Tavares de Oliveira (83')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Second Round clash between Atletico Mineiro and Manaus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Independencia 1-1 Manaus (2-3 pen.)
Thursday, February 20 at 12am in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 83.42%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Manaus had a probability of 4.83%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.14%) and 1-0 (10.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.54%), while for a Manaus win it was 0-1 (2.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawManaus
83.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)11.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)4.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 37.83% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.8% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)37.2% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.59% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)59.41% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.4%6.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)24.52% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Manaus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.5% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)59.5% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)90.39% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 83.4%
    Manaus 4.83%
    Draw 11.75%
Atletico MineiroDrawManaus
2-0 @ 14.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 13.14%
1-0 @ 10.66%
4-0 @ 8.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 4.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 2.52% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
6-0 @ 2.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 83.4%
1-1 @ 5.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 1.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 11.75%
0-1 @ 2.04%
1-2 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 4.83%