Copa do Brasil | First Round
Feb 20, 2025 at 12am UK
Arena Acreana

Independencia
1 - 1
Manaus

A (70')
J (29'), L (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
W (70')
J (5'), M (32')
Manaus win 3-2 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil First Round clash between Independencia and Manaus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independencia

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Manaus

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Last Game: Brasil de Pelotas 1-0 Manaus
Wednesday, March 4 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manaus win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Independencia had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manaus win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Independencia win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%).

Result
IndependenciaDrawManaus
35.45% (0.151 0.15)25.11% (-0.038 -0.04)39.43% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 57.22% (0.15 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.7% (0.185 0.19)46.3% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.41% (0.174 0.17)68.59% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)
Independencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.58% (0.172 0.17)25.42% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.76% (0.236 0.24)60.24% (-0.235 -0.23)
Manaus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.72% (0.022999999999996 0.02)23.28% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.79% (0.036000000000001 0.04)57.21% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Independencia 35.45%
    Manaus 39.43%
    Draw 25.11%
IndependenciaDrawManaus
1-0 @ 8.1% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.09% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.55% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.69% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.45%
1-1 @ 11.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.92% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 8.63% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.29% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 39.43%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Independencia
>
Brasil de Pelotas 1-0 Manaus
>
Manaus 1-0 Coritiba
rhs 2.0


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