Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 10, 2025 at 3am UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria

LDU Quito
2 - 0
Tachira

Arce (73', 73', 83', 83')
Gruezo (7'), Gruezo (7'), Franco Allala (17'), Franco Allala (17')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tamiche (43'), Tamiche (43')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between LDU Quito and Deportivo Tachira.

Form, Standings, Stats

LDU Quito

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Last Game: C. Cordoba 0-0 LDU Quito
Thursday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Deportivo Tachira

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Last Game: Tachira 0-1 Flamengo
Friday, April 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 18.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.

Result
LDU QuitoDrawDeportivo Tachira
55.54% (0.271 0.27)26.04% (-0.055 -0.05)18.42% (-0.221 -0.22)
Both teams to score 40.94% (-0.193 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.23% (-0.07 -0.07)60.77% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.18% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)80.82% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.92% (0.082999999999998 0.08)22.07% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.58% (0.13 0.13)55.42% (-0.136 -0.14)
Deportivo Tachira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.54% (-0.307 -0.31)47.46% (0.30099999999999 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.17% (-0.228 -0.23)82.83% (0.22199999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    LDU Quito 55.52%
    Deportivo Tachira 18.42%
    Draw 26.03%
LDU QuitoDrawDeportivo Tachira
1-0 @ 15.82% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 11.95% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.02% (0.062 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 55.52%
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 10.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.32% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.91% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 18.42%