Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Fe win with a probability of 46.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Deportes Iquique had a probability of 26.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Deportes Iquique win it was 0-1 (9.16%).