Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 18, 2025 at 10pm UK
Estadio Tierra de Campeones

Deportes Iquique
2 - 1
Santa Fe

Puch (35', 70' pen.)
Fuentes (62'), Alejandro Gonzalez Ramirez (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rodallega (2')
Andres Cuesta Rodriguez (17'), Angulo (22')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Deportes Iquique and Santa Fe.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Santa Fe 1-2 Goias
Thursday, June 29 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Iquique win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Santa Fe had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Iquique win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Santa Fe win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportes Iquique would win this match.

Result
Deportes IquiqueDrawSanta Fe
45.64% (1.83 1.83)26.65% (-0.639 -0.64)27.71% (-1.187 -1.19)
Both teams to score 49.12% (1.131 1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.68% (1.8 1.8)55.33% (-1.796 -1.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.46% (1.456 1.46)76.54% (-1.454 -1.45)
Deportes Iquique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (1.714 1.71)24.18% (-1.711 -1.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.5% (2.372 2.37)58.51% (-2.369 -2.37)
Santa Fe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.78% (0.028000000000006 0.03)35.22% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.03% (0.027999999999999 0.03)71.97% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Deportes Iquique 45.63%
    Santa Fe 27.71%
    Draw 26.64%
Deportes IquiqueDrawSanta Fe
1-0 @ 12.08% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.268 0.27)
2-0 @ 8.58% (0.251 0.25)
3-1 @ 4.24% (0.325 0.33)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.309 0.31)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.171 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.182 0.18)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.173 0.17)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 45.63%
1-1 @ 12.61% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-0 @ 8.52% (-0.609 -0.61)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.64%
0-1 @ 8.89% (-0.629 -0.63)
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.325 -0.33)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.051 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 27.71%