Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 62.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.28% and a win for Diosgyor had a probability of 16.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%) , while for a Diosgyor win it was 1-2 (4.85%).