Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Elland Road
  • Mateo Fernandez 14' goal
  • Georginio Rutter 45' goal
  • Ethan Ampadu 50' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rafa Mir 50'
  • yellowcard Javi Guerra 56'
  • redcard Rafa Mir 65'
  • goal Martin Tejon Fauli 89'

Leeds United vs Valencia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 19, 2024 7.30pm
Harrogate 0 - 3 Leeds

Valencia

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 31, 2024 6.00pm
Valencia 0 - 0 Levante

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 63.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 15.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result

Leeds United 63.92% (-0.58)
Draw 20.68% (+0.12)
Valencia 15.41% (+0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.21% (+0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.81% (+0.43)
Under 2.5 45.19% (-0.43)
Over 3.5 32.46% (+0.41)
Under 3.5 67.53% (-0.41)
Over 4.5 16.41% (+0.30)
Under 4.5 83.59% (-0.30)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 86.56% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 13.44% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 59.59% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 40.41% (+0.08)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 58% (+0.90)
Under 0.5 42% (-0.90)
Over 1.5 21.56% (+0.77)
Under 1.5 78.43% (-0.77)

Score analysis

Leeds United 63.9%
Draw 20.68%
Valencia 15.41%
Leeds United
2-0 @ 11.36% (-0.25)
1-0 @ 11.32% (-0.24)
2-1 @ 9.86% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 7.61% (-0.18)
3-1 @ 6.6% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 3.82% (-0.10)
4-1 @ 3.31% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (+0.08)
5-0 @ 1.53% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.44% (+0.04)
5-1 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 63.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.83% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.28% (+0.12)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 20.68%
Valencia
0-1 @ 4.9% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 4.26% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 2.12% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.24% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.23% (+0.07)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 15.41%