Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 63.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 15.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Valencia
63.92% ( -0.57)	20.68% ( 0.11)	15.41% ( 0.46)

Both teams to score 50.21% (

0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.81% (

0.43)

45.19% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.46% (

0.41)

67.53% (

-0.41)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.56% (

-0.03)

13.44% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.59% (

-0.07)

40.41% (

0.07)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58% (

0.89)

42% (

-0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.56% (

0.76)

78.43% (

-0.76)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 63.9%

Valencia 15.41%

Draw 20.68%

Leeds United	Draw	Valencia
2-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.31% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.87% Total : 63.9%	1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.92% Total : 20.68%	0-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.65% Total : 15.41%