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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 63.8%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 16.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Norwich City |
| 63.8% ( | 19.98% ( | 16.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.48% ( | 40.51% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.1% ( | 62.89% ( |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.96% ( | 12.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.46% | 37.54% |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.9% ( | 38.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.14% ( | 74.86% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Norwich City |
| 2-0 @ 10.27% ( 2-1 @ 9.92% 1-0 @ 9.71% ( 3-0 @ 7.25% ( 3-1 @ 7% 4-0 @ 3.84% ( 4-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 5-0 @ 1.62% ( 5-1 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.74% Total : 63.79% | 1-1 @ 9.37% 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0-0 @ 4.59% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.98% | 1-2 @ 4.52% ( 0-1 @ 4.43% 0-2 @ 2.14% ( 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 1-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 16.22% |