Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 48.82% ( | 24.08% ( | 27.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.73% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.84% ( | 45.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.5% ( | 67.5% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.41% ( | 18.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.13% ( | 49.87% ( |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.68% ( | 30.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.5% ( | 66.5% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 2-0 @ 7.98% ( 3-1 @ 5.34% ( 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 4-0 @ 1.88% ( 4-2 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 3.37% Total : 48.82% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 3-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0-1 @ 6.73% ( 0-2 @ 4.01% ( 1-3 @ 2.69% ( 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0-3 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 27.11% |