La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 21, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
2 - 1
Las Palmas

Budimir (39' pen.), Oroz (60')
Bretones (54')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Moleiro (41')
Ramirez (15'), Marmol (35'), Park (45+3'), Silva (78'), Pena (85'), Januzaj (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 3-1 Osasuna
Monday, September 16 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Las Palmas

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Las Palmas 2-3 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, September 15 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 46.9%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 24.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Las Palmas
46.9% ( 0.03)	28.64% ( -0.03)	24.46%

Both teams to score 41.47% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.13% (

0.08)

63.87% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.91% (

0.06)

83.09% (

-0.06)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.55% (

0.05)

27.45% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.06% (

0.07)

62.94% (

-0.07)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.16% (

0.05)

42.84% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.85% (

0.04)

79.15% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 46.9%

Las Palmas 24.46%

Draw 28.62%

Osasuna	Draw	Las Palmas
1-0 @ 15.2% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.83% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 1.67% Total : 46.9%	1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.46% Total : 28.62%	0-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.06% Total : 24.46%