Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Villarreal in this match.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Villarreal |
| 42.33% ( | 27.4% ( | 30.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.02% ( | 56.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.12% ( | 77.88% ( |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.4% ( | 26.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.18% ( | 61.82% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.87% ( | 34.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.19% ( | 70.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 12.02% ( 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 2-0 @ 7.96% ( 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 3-0 @ 3.51% ( 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 42.33% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0-0 @ 9.08% ( 2-2 @ 4.6% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.39% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( 1-2 @ 6.95% ( 0-2 @ 5.25% ( 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 2-3 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 30.27% |