La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 10

Oct 19, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Balaidos

Celta Vigo
1 - 2
Real Madrid

Swedberg (51')
Sotelo (82'), Alonso (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mbappe (20'), Junior (66')
Ancelotti (19'), Vazquez (75')

Reaction

Real Madrid's Luka Modric pictured on October 5, 2024

Luka Modric breaks 58-year-old Real Madrid record in Celta Vigo victory

Luka Modric becomes the oldest player in Real Madrid's history as he comes off the bench to provide an assist in Saturday's 2-1 La Liga triumph over Celta Vigo.

Oct 19, 22:08

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Last Game: Las Palmas 0-1 Celta Vigo
Saturday, October 5 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Villarreal
Saturday, October 5 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 51.96%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Real Madrid
24.04% ( 0.01)	23.99% ( 0)	51.96% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.99% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.63% (

-0.01)

47.37% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.41% (

-0.01)

69.59% (

0.01)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.01% (

-0)

33.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.34%

70.66% (

-0)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.78% (

-0.01)

18.22% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.76% (

-0.01)

49.23% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 24.04%

Real Madrid 51.96%

Draw 23.99%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 6.68% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.14% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.61% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.88% 3-0 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 24.04%	1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.99%	0-1 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.98% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.5% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.1% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.34% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.17% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 3.42% Total : 51.96%