Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 44%. A win for Girona had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Girona |
| 44% ( | 25.62% ( | 30.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.04% ( | 49.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.06% ( | 71.95% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.36% ( | 22.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.73% ( | 56.27% |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.59% ( | 30.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.38% ( | 66.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% ( 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 3-1 @ 4.48% 3-0 @ 3.76% ( 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.17% Total : 43.99% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 8.2% 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0-3 @ 1.94% ( Other @ 3.12% Total : 30.38% |