Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 48.3% ( | 25.11% ( | 26.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.94% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.07% ( | 49.93% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.08% ( | 71.92% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% ( | 20.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.7% ( | 53.3% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.76% ( | 33.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.15% ( | 69.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% ( 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 2-0 @ 8.53% ( 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 3-0 @ 4.48% ( 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 4-2 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 48.29% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.58% ( 1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0-2 @ 4.17% ( 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 26.59% |