Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Sep 18, 2024 at 8pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
1 - 0
Girona

Gazzaniga (90' og.)
Marquinhos (17')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Krejci (20'), Romeu (43'), Gazzaniga (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Last Game: PSG 3-1 Brest
Saturday, September 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Girona

All competitions

Last Game: Girona 1-4 Barcelona
Sunday, September 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Girona had a probability of 16.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Girona win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Girona
64.68% ( 1.03)	18.91% ( -0.42)	16.4% ( -0.62)

Both teams to score 58.83% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.98% (

0.82)

35.02% (

-0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.98% (

0.91)

57.01% (

-0.91)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.78% (

0.49)

10.21% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.48% (

1.11)

33.52% (

-1.12)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.52% (

-0.2)

34.47% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.81% (

-0.21)

71.18% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 64.68%

Girona 16.4%

Draw 18.91%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Girona
2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.11) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.16% Total : 64.68%	1-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 18.91%	1-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 2% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.63% Total : 16.4%