Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Girona had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Girona |
| 40.3% ( | 25.9% ( | 33.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.94% ( | 50.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.97% ( | 72.03% ( |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% ( | 24.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.03% ( | 58.97% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.79% ( | 28.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.1% ( | 63.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 3-1 @ 4.05% ( 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 4-2 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 1.82% Total : 40.3% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 1-4 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.8% |