Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 39.05% ( | 25.21% ( | 35.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.27% ( | 46.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.01% ( | 68.99% ( |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.34% ( | 23.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.23% ( | 57.76% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.53% ( | 25.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.7% ( | 60.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Las Palmas | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 2-0 @ 6.26% ( 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 4-1 @ 1.48% ( 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 4-2 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.04% Total : 39.05% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 3-3 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0-2 @ 5.64% ( 1-3 @ 3.7% ( 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 2-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.73% |