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Las Palmas
La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Gran Canaria
Celta Vigo logo

Las Palmas
0 - 1
Celta Vigo


Silva (45+1'), Mata (70'), Campana (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Iglesias (28')
Beltran (32'), Manquillo (42'), Moriba (52'), Aspas (54'), Mingueza (55'), Douvikas (75')
Moriba (54'), Aspas (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Las Palmas and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 3-1 Las Palmas
Monday, September 30 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Girona
Sunday, September 29 at 1pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Las PalmasDrawCelta Vigo
39.05% (-0.142 -0.14)25.21% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)35.73% (0.144 0.14)
Both teams to score 56.9% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.27% (0.025000000000006 0.03)46.73% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.01% (0.023 0.02)68.99% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.34% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)23.66% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.23% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)57.76% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53% (0.092000000000013 0.09)25.46% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.7% (0.127 0.13)60.3% (-0.129 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Las Palmas 39.05%
    Celta Vigo 35.73%
    Draw 25.2%
Las PalmasDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 8.68% (-0.026000000000002 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.26% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 39.05%
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.13% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.64% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.7% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.67% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.57% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.73%

How you voted: Las Palmas vs Celta Vigo

Las Palmas
28.9%
Draw
31.3%
Celta Vigo
39.8%
83
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 32
Celta Vigo
4-1
Las Palmas
Aspas (37', 76'), Swedberg (39'), Douvikas (71')
Strand Larsen (66')
Herzog (11')
Oct 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Las Palmas
2-1
Celta Vigo
Viera (84' pen.), Cardona (90+7')
Marmol (74'), Cardona (90+8')
Douvikas (67')
Starfelt (83')
Mar 5, 2018 8pm
Oct 16, 2017 8pm
Las Palmas
2-5
Celta Vigo
Vitolo (90'), Remy (90')
Bigas (51'), Aquilani (61')
Mor (16'), Aspas (20', 49', 76'), Hernandez (71')
Jozabed (27')
Blanco (52')
Apr 3, 2017 7.45pm
Celta Vigo
3-1
Las Palmas
Rossi (13', 36', 57')
Roncaglia (24'), Jonny (45')
Bigas (80')
Bigas (17'), Rodriguez (52')