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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Augsburg |
39.49% ( 0.31) | 24.27% ( 0.19) | 36.25% ( -0.49) |
Both teams to score 60.37% ( -0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.74% ( -0.95) | 42.26% ( 0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.34% ( -0.95) | 64.66% ( 0.96) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.52% ( -0.27) | 21.48% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.49% ( -0.41) | 54.51% ( 0.41) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.88% ( -0.69) | 23.12% ( 0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.02% ( -1.02) | 56.98% ( 1.02) |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Augsburg |
2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 39.49% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 41 | 10 | 31 | 33 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 26 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Wolfsburg | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 21 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
7 | Freiburg | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
8 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 19 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 19 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 18 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 16 |
13 | Augsburg | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 34 | -24 | 2 |
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