Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.