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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Nov 2, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
DnB NOR Arena

Hoffenheim
0 - 2
St Pauli

FT(HT: 0-1)
Afolayan (20'), Albers (90+4')
Guilavogui (64'), Blessin (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.1%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawSt Pauli
43.82% (-1.822 -1.82)22.49% (0.52 0.52)33.68% (1.298 1.3)
Both teams to score 66.45% (-1.462 -1.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.93% (-2.126 -2.13)34.07% (2.123 2.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.06% (-2.445 -2.45)55.94% (2.441 2.44)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.79% (-1.492 -1.49)16.21% (1.49 1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.3% (-2.786 -2.79)45.7% (2.78 2.78)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31% (-0.33 -0.33)20.69% (0.327 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (-0.521 -0.52)53.29% (0.517 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 43.82%
    St Pauli 33.68%
    Draw 22.5%
HoffenheimDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.1% (0.36 0.36)
2-0 @ 5.55% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.31% (-0.287 -0.29)
3-2 @ 4.18% (-0.27 -0.27)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.147 -0.15)
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.265 -0.27)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.231 -0.23)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.152 -0.15)
4-3 @ 1% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 43.82%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.475 0.48)
2-2 @ 6.89% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.35% (0.357 0.36)
3-3 @ 2.2% (-0.166 -0.17)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.5%
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.301 0.3)
0-1 @ 5.28% (0.514 0.51)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.366 0.37)
1-3 @ 3.98% (0.12 0.12)
2-3 @ 3.62% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.172 0.17)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 33.68%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs St Pauli

Hoffenheim
86.0%
Draw
12.0%
St Pauli
2.0%
50