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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Nov 2, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
DnB NOR Arena

Hoffenheim
0 - 2
St Pauli

FT(HT: 0-1)
Afolayan (20'), Albers (90+4')
Guilavogui (64'), Blessin (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-1 Nuremberg
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-2 St Pauli
Tuesday, October 29 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Hoffenheim 2-0 St Pauli

With Saad missing for St. Pauli, the away side's already tricky visit to Hoffenheim just got doubly harder without their top scorer. Despite the closeness in the table, the hosts should take care of business and notch a fourth consecutive home triumph in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.1%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawSt Pauli
43.82% (-1.822 -1.82) 22.49% (0.52 0.52) 33.68% (1.298 1.3)
Both teams to score 66.45% (-1.462 -1.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.93% (-2.126 -2.13)34.07% (2.123 2.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.06% (-2.445 -2.45)55.94% (2.441 2.44)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.79% (-1.492 -1.49)16.21% (1.49 1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.3% (-2.786 -2.79)45.7% (2.78 2.78)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31% (-0.33 -0.33)20.69% (0.327 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (-0.521 -0.52)53.29% (0.517 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 43.82%
    St Pauli 33.68%
    Draw 22.5%
HoffenheimDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.1% (0.36 0.36)
2-0 @ 5.55% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.31% (-0.287 -0.29)
3-2 @ 4.18% (-0.27 -0.27)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.147 -0.15)
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.265 -0.27)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.231 -0.23)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.152 -0.15)
4-3 @ 1% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 43.82%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.475 0.48)
2-2 @ 6.89% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.35% (0.357 0.36)
3-3 @ 2.2% (-0.166 -0.17)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.5%
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.301 0.3)
0-1 @ 5.28% (0.514 0.51)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.366 0.37)
1-3 @ 3.98% (0.12 0.12)
2-3 @ 3.62% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.172 0.17)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 33.68%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs St Pauli

Hoffenheim
86.0%
Draw
12.0%
St Pauli
2.0%
50
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern129303782930
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1282231161526
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen126512819923
4RB Leipzig126331914521
5Borussia DortmundDortmund126242319420
6Stuttgart135532623320
7Freiburg126241616020
8Mainz 05Mainz125432014619
9Wolfsburg125342519618
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach125251817117
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
12Werder Bremen124441924-516
13Augsburg124351423-915
14Hoffenheim123361724-712
15St Pauli123271015-511
16Heidenheim123181524-910
17Holstein Kiel121291331-185
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1202101033-232


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