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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.1%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | St Pauli |
43.82% ( -1.82) | 22.49% ( 0.52) | 33.68% ( 1.3) |
Both teams to score 66.45% ( -1.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.93% ( -2.13) | 34.07% ( 2.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.06% ( -2.45) | 55.94% ( 2.44) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.79% ( -1.49) | 16.21% ( 1.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.3% ( -2.79) | 45.7% ( 2.78) |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.31% ( -0.33) | 20.69% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.71% ( -0.52) | 53.29% ( 0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | St Pauli |
2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.29) 3-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.27) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.15) 4-3 @ 1% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.72% Total : 43.82% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.36) 3-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.5% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.3) 0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.51) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.37) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.89% Total : 33.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 30 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 26 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 23 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 21 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
7 | Freiburg | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
8 | Mainz 05Mainz | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 18 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 17 |
11 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Augsburg | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 12 |
15 | St Pauli | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 33 | -23 | 2 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |