MX23RW : Thursday, December 12 10:44:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga
Dortmund logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Nov 2, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Leipzig logo

Dortmund
2 - 1
RB Leipzig

Beier (30'), Guirassy (65')
Beier (21'), Bensebaini (34'), Azhil (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sesko (27')
Baumgartner (8'), Henrichs (35'), Geertruida (40'), Kampl (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-0 Dortmund
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-2 St Pauli
Tuesday, October 29 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Borussia Dortmund 1-3 RB Leipzig

 It is difficult to see how Dortmund can avoid defeat given their sheer number of injury absentees, as well as their poor form. Additionally, despite their continental struggles this term, RB Leipzig have been exceptional in the Bundesliga, and it would not be surprising if they inflicted more misery upon Dortmund on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.44%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.78%) and 1-0 (6.54%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawRB Leipzig
53.44% (-1.695 -1.7) 21.16% (0.415 0.41) 25.4% (1.289 1.29)
Both teams to score 65.51% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.13% (-0.68899999999999 -0.69)32.87% (0.697 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.42% (-0.799 -0.8)54.58% (0.808 0.81)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.44% (-0.709 -0.71)12.56% (0.717 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.38% (-1.502 -1.5)38.62% (1.51 1.51)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (0.55199999999999 0.55)25.08% (-0.544 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.24% (0.756 0.76)59.77% (-0.748 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 53.44%
    RB Leipzig 25.4%
    Draw 21.16%
Borussia DortmundDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-0 @ 6.54% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-0 @ 4.69% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-2 @ 4.48% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.36% (-0.204 -0.2)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.188 -0.19)
4-2 @ 2.33% (-0.102 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-3 @ 1.07% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.109 -0.11)
5-2 @ 0.97% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 53.44%
1-1 @ 9.04% (0.223 0.22)
2-2 @ 6.48% (0.082 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.15% (0.115 0.12)
3-3 @ 2.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 21.16%
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.249 0.25)
0-1 @ 4.36% (0.225 0.23)
0-2 @ 3.01% (0.2 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.084 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.88% (0.158 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.112 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.045 0.05)
1-4 @ 1% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 25.4%

How you voted: Dortmund vs RB Leipzig

Borussia Dortmund
21.2%
Draw
19.6%
RB Leipzig
59.2%
179
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 31
RB Leipzig
4-1
Dortmund
Openda (23'), Sesko (45+2'), Simakan (46'), Baumgartner (80')
Simakan (37')
Sancho (20')
Sancho (37'), Schlotterbeck (76')
> Preview
Dec 9, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Dortmund
2-3
RB Leipzig
Sule (45+6'), Fullkrug (90+3')
Ozcan (60')
Hummels (15')
Bensebaini (32' og.), Baumgartner (54'), Poulsen (90+1')
Simakan (35'), Simons (61'), Openda (66')
> Preview
Apr 5, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
RB Leipzig
2-0
Dortmund
Werner (22'), Orban (90+8')
> Preview
Mar 3, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 23
Dortmund
2-1
RB Leipzig
Reus (21' pen.), Can (39')
Forsberg (74')
> Match Report
Sep 10, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
RB Leipzig
3-0
Dortmund
Orban (6'), Szoboszlai (45'), Haidara (84')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242
> Bundesliga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!