Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 9

Nov 2, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
2 - 1
RB Leipzig

Beier (30'), Guirassy (65')
Beier (21'), Bensebaini (34'), Azhil (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sesko (27')
Baumgartner (8'), Henrichs (35'), Geertruida (40'), Kampl (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-0 Dortmund
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-2 St Pauli
Tuesday, October 29 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.44%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.78%) and 1-0 (6.54%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	RB Leipzig
53.44% ( -1.7)	21.16% ( 0.41)	25.4% ( 1.29)

Both teams to score 65.51% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.13% (

-0.69)

32.87% (

0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.42% (

-0.8)

54.58% (

0.81)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.44% (

-0.71)

12.56% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.38% (

-1.5)

38.62% (

1.51)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.92% (

0.55)

25.08% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.24% (

0.76)

59.77% (

-0.75)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 53.44%

RB Leipzig 25.4%

Draw 21.16%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.13) 4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.11) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.54% Total : 53.44%	1-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.16%	1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.49% Total : 25.4%