Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Dortmund
Nov 2, 2024 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
RB Leipzig
  • Maximilian Beier 21' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Beier 30' goal
  • Ramy Bensebaini 34' yellowcard
  • Serhou Guirassy 65' goal
  • Ayman Azhil 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christoph Baumgartner 8'
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 27'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Henrichs 35'
  • yellowcard Lutsharel Geertruida 40'
  • yellowcard Kevin Kampl 81'

Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Oct 26, 2024 2.30pm
Augsburg 2 - 1 Dortmund
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Oct 26, 2024 2.30pm
RB Leipzig 3 - 1 Freiburg
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Benjamin Sesko

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.44%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.78%) and 1-0 (6.54%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.

Result

Borussia Dortmund 53.44% ▼ (-1.70)
Draw 21.16% ▲ (+0.42)
RB Leipzig 25.4% ▲ (+1.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.51% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.13% ▼ (-0.69)
Under 2.5 32.87% ▲ (+0.70)
Over 3.5 45.42% ▼ (-0.80)
Under 3.5 54.58% ▲ (+0.81)
Over 4.5 26.66% ▼ (-0.70)
Under 4.5 73.34% ▲ (+0.71)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 87.44% ▼ (-0.71)
Under 0.5 12.56% ▲ (+0.72)
Over 1.5 61.38% ▼ (-1.51)
Under 1.5 38.62% ▲ (+1.51)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 74.92% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 0.5 25.08% ▼ (-0.55)
Over 1.5 40.24% ▲ (+0.76)
Under 1.5 59.77% ▼ (-0.75)

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 53.44%
Draw 21.16%
RB Leipzig 25.4%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.13)
1-0 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.21)
3-0 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.23)
3-2 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.21)
4-0 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.19)
4-2 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.11)
5-1 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.13)
4-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 53.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.04% ▲ (+0.23)
2-2 @ 6.48% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.12)
3-3 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 21.16%
RB Leipzig
1-2 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.25)
0-1 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.23)
0-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.20)
2-3 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.16)
0-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.12)
2-4 @ 1.03% ▼ (-97.87)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 25.4%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 31
RB Leipzig
Apr 27, 2024 2.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
Dortmund
  • Lois Openda 23' goal
  • Mohamed Simakan 37' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Simakan 46' goal
  • Benjamin Sesko 45'+2' goal
  • Christoph Baumgartner 80' goal
  • goal Jadon Sancho 20'
  • yellowcard Jadon Sancho 37'
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 76'
Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Dortmund
Dec 9, 2023 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
RB Leipzig
  • Mats Hummels 15' redcard
  • Niklas Sule 45'+6' goal
  • Salih Ozcan 60' yellowcard
  • Niclas Fullkrug 90'+3' goal
  • goal Ramy Bensebaini 32' (OG)
  • yellowcard Mohamed Simakan 35'
  • goal Christoph Baumgartner 54'
  • yellowcard Xavi Simons 61'
  • yellowcard Lois Openda 66'
  • goal Yussuf Poulsen 90'+1'
DFB-Pokal
RB Leipzig
Apr 5, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Red Bull Arena
Dortmund
  • Timo Werner 22' goal
  • Willi Orban 90'+8' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Dortmund
Mar 3, 2023 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
RB Leipzig
  • Marco Reus 21' goal
  • Emre Can 39' goal
  • goal Emil Forsberg 74'
Bundesliga Gameweek 6
RB Leipzig
Sep 10, 2022 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Dortmund
  • Willi Orban 6' goal
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 45' goal
  • Amadou Haidara 84' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Dortmund
Apr 2, 2022 5.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT
RB Leipzig
  • Thorgan Hazard 45' yellowcard
  • Emre Can 80' yellowcard
  • Donyell Malen 84' goal
  • Donyell Malen 88' yellowcard
  • goal Konrad Laimer 21'
  • goal Konrad Laimer 30'
  • yellowcard Kevin Kampl 54'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 58'
  • goal Dani Olmo 86'

Form Data

Wolfsburg 1 - 0 Dortmund
Augsburg 2 - 1 Dortmund
Real Madrid 5 - 2 Dortmund
Dortmund 2 - 1 St Pauli
Union Berlin 2 - 1 Dortmund
Dortmund 7 - 1 Celtic
RB Leipzig 4 - 2 St Pauli
RB Leipzig 3 - 1 Freiburg
RB Leipzig 0 - 1 Liverpool
Mainz 0 - 2 RB Leipzig
Heidenheim 0 - 1 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 2 - 3 Juventus