Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12

Dec 2, 2024 at 8.45pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
2 - 0
Casa Pia

Vieira (51'), Omorodion (55')
Borges (87'), Jose Cardoso Sousa (88'), Otavio (90+6'), Otavio (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Anderlecht 2-2 Porto
Thursday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Casa Pia 3-0 Chaves
Saturday, November 23 at 7.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 87.24%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 3.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.93%) and 4-0 (10.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.36%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (1.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Casa Pia
87.24% ( 0.01)	9.16% ( -0)	3.6% ( -0)

Both teams to score 38.66% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.83% (

-0.01)

30.17% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.6% (

-0.01)

51.39% (

0.01)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.43% (

4.57% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.34%

18.66%

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

40.51% (

-0.02)

59.48% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.61% (

-0.01)

90.38% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Porto 87.23%

Casa Pia 3.6%

Draw 9.16%

Porto	Draw	Casa Pia
3-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 12.93% 4-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.72% ( -0) 5-0 @ 6.34% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.34% ( -0) 5-1 @ 3.29% ( -0) 6-0 @ 3.26% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.69% ( -0) 7-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 4.16% Total : 87.23%	1-1 @ 4.36% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.72% ( 0) 2-2 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 9.16%	0-1 @ 1.41% 1-2 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 1.05% Total : 3.6%