Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round

Nov 23, 2024 at 7.15pm UK

Campo do Cevadeiro

Casa Pia
3 - 0
Chaves

Cassiano (2'), Moreira (44' pen.), Livolant (56')
Moreira (23'), Larrazabal (48'), Ferreira de Sousa (70'), Kluivert (79')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Carraca (36'), Pius (42'), Pinho (48'), Joao Kusso (85'), Platiny (90')
Morim (70')

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Casa Pia and Chaves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-1 Farense
Saturday, November 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Chaves

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Chaves 2-0 Lusitania FC Lourosa
Sunday, October 20 at 4.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.64%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Chaves
28.05% ( 0.13)	27.87% ( 0)	44.07% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 45.89% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.44% (

0.04)

59.56% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.1% (

0.03)

79.9% (

-0.03)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.76% (

0.12)

37.24% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.98% (

0.12)

74.02% (

-0.12)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.12% (

-0.05)

26.88% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.81% (

-0.06)

62.19% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 28.05%

Chaves 44.07%

Draw 27.87%

Casa Pia	Draw	Chaves
1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 28.05%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.87%	0-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 44.07%