Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Deportivo La Coruna had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Deportivo La Coruna win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.

Result
Chaves	Draw	Deportivo La Coruna
42.07% ( 0.11)	24.98% ( 0.72)	32.95% ( -0.83)

Both teams to score 57.07% (

-2.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.77% (

-3.55)

46.23% (

3.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.48% (

-3.44)

68.52% (

3.44)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.05% (

-1.45)

21.95% (

1.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.76% (

-2.25)

55.24% (

2.26)

Deportivo La Coruna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.12% (

-2.19)

26.88% (

2.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.81% (

-2.97)

62.19% (

2.98)

Score Analysis

Chaves 42.07%

Deportivo La Coruna 32.95%

Draw 24.98%

Chaves	Draw	Deportivo La Coruna
1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.93) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.33) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.07%	1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.54) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.84) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.36) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.98%	0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.67) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.95%