Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13

Dec 6, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
2 - 2
Estoril

Bruma (16', 56' pen.)
Martinez (52'), Arrey-Mbi (64'), Fernandez (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Marques (68' pen.), Costa (82')
Bacher (54'), Costa (72'), Lacximicant (85'), Robles (90+3'), Carvalho (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: AVS 0-1 Braga
Sunday, December 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estoril 2-1 Famalicao
Sunday, December 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 16.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Braga	Draw	Estoril Praia
64.23% ( 0.75)	19.19% ( -0.16)	16.57% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 58.18% (

-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.96% (

-0.36)

36.04% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.86% (

-0.39)

58.13% (

0.39)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.38% (

0.08)

10.62% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.57% (

0.19)

34.43% (

-0.2)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.1% (

-0.9)

34.9% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.36% (

-0.95)

71.64% (

0.95)

Score Analysis

Braga 64.23%

Estoril Praia 16.57%

Draw 19.19%

Braga	Draw	Estoril Praia
2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.89% Total : 64.23%	1-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.19%	1-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.59% Total : 16.57%