Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 20.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.91%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Famalicao |
| 20.74% ( | 25.91% ( | 53.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.06% ( | 57.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.36% ( | 78.64% ( |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.85% ( | 43.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.59% ( | 79.41% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.18% ( | 21.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.96% ( | 55.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 2-1 @ 5.06% ( 2-0 @ 3.33% ( 3-1 @ 1.42% ( 3-2 @ 1.08% ( 3-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.01% Total : 20.74% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0-0 @ 9.41% ( 2-2 @ 3.85% ( Other @ 0.59% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 14.33% ( 0-2 @ 10.91% ( 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0-3 @ 5.54% ( 1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0-4 @ 2.11% ( 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 1-4 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 2.92% Total : 53.35% |