Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 20.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.91%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.