Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15

Dec 23, 2024 at 8.45pm UK

Estadio Jose Gomes

Estrela Amadora
1 - 0
Rio Ave

Gabriel Coelho Oliveira (37')
Martins Travassos (58'), Jesus (81'), Bucca (90+10'), Cabral (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Novais (52'), Morais (82'), Aguilera (90+8')
Petit (90+9'), Neto (90+13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 2-0 Estrela Amadora
Monday, December 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-2 Guimaraes
Monday, December 16 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Estrela Amadora in this match.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Rio Ave
45.93% ( 1.32)	26.76% ( -0.12)	27.3% ( -1.2)

Both teams to score 48.51% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.03% (

-0.18)

55.97% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.93% (

-0.15)

77.07% (

0.15)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.68% (

0.57)

24.32% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.29% (

0.79)

58.71% (

-0.78)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.1% (

-1.05)

35.9% (

1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.33% (

-1.1)

72.68% (

1.1)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 45.93%

Rio Ave 27.3%

Draw 26.76%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 12.34% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.5% Total : 45.93%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.76%	0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.96% Total : 27.3%