Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 50.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 23.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santa Clara in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Santa Clara.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 50.36% ( | 26.13% ( | 23.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.79% ( | 56.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.74% ( | 77.26% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.61% ( | 22.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.11% ( | 55.89% ( |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.64% ( | 39.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.95% ( | 76.06% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 13.18% ( 2-0 @ 9.87% ( 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 3-0 @ 4.92% ( 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 4-0 @ 1.84% ( 4-1 @ 1.72% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 50.35% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0-0 @ 8.81% ( 2-2 @ 4.29% ( Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 1.43% Total : 23.52% |