Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 67.63%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 13.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Santa Clara |
67.63% ( 0.26) | 18.48% ( -0.09) | 13.89% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 53.87% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.6% ( -0) | 38.4% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.31% ( -0) | 60.68% ( 0.01) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.57% ( 0.07) | 10.43% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66% ( 0.15) | 34% ( -0.14) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.14% ( -0.25) | 39.86% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.48% ( -0.23) | 76.52% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Santa Clara |
2-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 8% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.57% Total : 67.63% | 1-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.48% | 1-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.74% Total : 13.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 6 | 33 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 24 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 10 |
14 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
15 | Nacional | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 9 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 8 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
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