Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12

Nov 30, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Jose Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
0 - 1
Santa Clara

Gyokeres (76'), Braganca (90+9')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lopes (33')
Adriano (22'), Safira (44'), Lopes (45+1'), Calila (45+4'), Nunes Oliveira (64'), Batista (83'), Soares (90+2'), Ferreira (90+4')
Miguel Lopes Matos (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-5 Arsenal
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Santa Clara

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Famalicao 0-1 Santa Clara
Sunday, November 24 at 4pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 67.63%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 13.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Santa Clara
67.63% ( 0.26)	18.48% ( -0.09)	13.89% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 53.87% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.6% (

-0)

38.4% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.31% (

-0)

60.68% (

0.01)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.57% (

0.07)

10.43% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66% (

0.15)

34% (

-0.14)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.14% (

-0.25)

39.86% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.48% (

-0.23)

76.52% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 67.63%

Santa Clara 13.89%

Draw 18.48%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Santa Clara
2-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 8% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.57% Total : 67.63%	1-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.48%	1-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.74% Total : 13.89%