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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Flislog.png "Sporting Lisbon")
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fnaclog.png "Nacional")
Sporting Lisbon3 - 1Nacional
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, October 26 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
for
Friday, October 25 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 82.62%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 5.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.68%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.52%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (1.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Nacional |
| 82.62% | 11.65% ( -0) | 5.72% |
| Both teams to score 44.97% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.2% ( -0) | 31.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.67% ( -0) | 53.32% ( 0) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.31% ( -0) | 5.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.02% ( -0) | 21.98% ( -0) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.68% ( -0) | 52.32% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.78% ( -0) | 86.21% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Nacional |
| 2-0 @ 12.22% 3-0 @ 11.68% 1-0 @ 8.53% 4-0 @ 8.38% 2-1 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 7.57% 4-1 @ 5.43% 5-0 @ 4.81% 5-1 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 2.45% 6-0 @ 2.3% 4-2 @ 1.76% 6-1 @ 1.49% 5-2 @ 1.01% ( -0)7-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.02% Total : 82.61% | 1-1 @ 5.52% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.97% 2-2 @ 2.57% Other @ 0.6% Total : 11.65% | 0-1 @ 1.93% 1-2 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.01% Total : 5.72% |
How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional
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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F06%2FGambleAware%20Secondary%20Main%20Grey.png "on February 3, 2024"){kind=small}