Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10

Nov 4, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio da Madeira

Nacional
2 - 0
Santa Clara

Aguiar Tomich (9'), Macedo (13' pen.)
Ulisses (24'), Thomas (49'), Dias (74'), Franca (80')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ramos (43'), Rocha (43'), Safira (50'), Klismahn (54'), Adriano (64'), Silva (74'), Lima (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Nacional
Tuesday, October 29 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Santa Clara

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Santa Clara
Wednesday, October 30 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Santa Clara
30.42% ( 0.65)	26.18% ( 0.22)	43.4% ( -0.87)

Both teams to score 52.09% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.77% (

-0.62)

52.23% (

0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.06% (

-0.54)

73.94% (

0.54)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.45% (

0.15)

31.55% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.05% (

0.17)

67.95% (

-0.17)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.09% (

-0.69)

23.91% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.88% (

-1)

58.12% (

Score Analysis

Nacional 30.42%

Santa Clara 43.4%

Draw 26.18%

Nacional	Draw	Santa Clara
1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.42%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.18%	0-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.76% Total : 43.4%