Sporting Lisbon
Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 22, 2024 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
6 - 0
Amarante

Edwards (10', 45'), Esgaio (15'), Harder (28'), Trincao (57'), Gyokeres (89' pen.)
Braganca (34')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Pedro (74'), Antonio Ribeiro Carvalho Ferreira (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Taca de Portugal clash between Sporting Lisbon and Amarante, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Braga 2-4 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, November 10 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Amarante

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Amarante 6-1 Juventude Lajense
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 92.5%. A draw had a probability of 5.8% and a win for Amarante had a probability of 1.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.7%) and 2-0 (11.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.72%), while for an Amarante win it was 0-1 (0.76%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawAmarante
92.5% (0.565 0.56)5.75% (-0.332 -0.33)1.74% (-0.229 -0.23)
Both teams to score 32.41% (-2.118 -2.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.82% (-0.18400000000001 -0.18)24.17% (0.187 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.17% (-0.246 -0.25)43.83% (0.249 0.25)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.18% (0.062000000000012 0.06)2.82% (-0.059 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.12% (0.21299999999999 0.21)12.87% (-0.209 -0.21)
Amarante Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
33.35% (-2.2 -2.2)66.65% (2.204 2.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.31% (-0.931 -0.93)93.69% (0.93499999999999 0.93)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 92.5%
    Amarante 1.74%
    Draw 5.75%
Sporting LisbonDrawAmarante
3-0 @ 14.23% (0.43 0.43)
4-0 @ 12.7% (0.46 0.46)
2-0 @ 11.96% (0.29 0.29)
5-0 @ 9.07% (0.374 0.37)
1-0 @ 6.7% (0.123 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.77% (-0.292 -0.29)
6-0 @ 5.39% (0.253 0.25)
4-1 @ 5.15% (-0.228 -0.23)
2-1 @ 4.85% (-0.275 -0.28)
5-1 @ 3.68% (-0.14 -0.14)
7-0 @ 2.75% (0.145 0.15)
6-1 @ 2.19% (-0.07 -0.07)
8-0 @ 1.23% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.17% (-0.161 -0.16)
7-1 @ 1.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 92.5%
1-1 @ 2.72% (-0.171 -0.17)
0-0 @ 1.88% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 0.98% (-0.142 -0.14)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 5.75%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 1.74%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Amarante

Sporting Lisbon
91.4%
Draw
5.7%
Amarante
2.9%
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