Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Nov 1, 2024 8.15pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Viktor Gyokeres 19' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 31' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 42' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 70' goal
  • Maximiliano Araujo 85' goal
  • yellowcard Paulo Daniel Valente Moreira 4'
  • goal Rodrigo Pinho 35'
  • yellowcard Leonel Bucca 41'
  • yellowcard Leo Cordeiro 44'
  • yellowcard Ferro 80'

Sporting Lisbon vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Oct 26, 2024 8.30pm
Famalicao 0 - 3 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
88
Top scorer
Viktor Gyokeres

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Oct 27, 2024 8.30pm
Estrela Amadora 2 - 2 Guimaraes
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Kikas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 91.09%. A draw had a probability of 6.6% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 2.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.62%) and 2-0 (11.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.13%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (0.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 91.09% (+0.05)
Draw 6.57% (-0.04)
Estrela Amadora 2.33% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.41% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 76.24% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 23.76% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 56.72% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 43.28% (-0.14)
Over 4.5 37.18% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 62.82% (-0.14)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 97.03% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 2.97% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 86.58% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 13.42% (-0.07)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 38.56% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 61.44% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 8.63% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 91.37% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 91.08%
Draw 6.58%
Estrela Amadora 2.33%
Sporting Lisbon
3-0 @ 13.22% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 11.62% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 11.28% (-0.05)
5-0 @ 8.18% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.42% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 5.66% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.5% (-0.02)
6-0 @ 4.79% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 3.98% (+0.02)
7-0 @ 2.41% (+0.02)
6-1 @ 2.33% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
7-1 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
8-0 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 91.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 3.13% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 1.83% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 1.34% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 6.58%
Estrela Amadora
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 2.33%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 29, 2024 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
  • Leonel Bucca 16' goal
  • Leo Cordeiro 31' yellowcard
  • Aloisio Genezio 37' yellowcard
  • Regis N'do 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matheus Reis 22'
  • goal Paulinho 23'
  • goal Nuno Santos 40'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Nov 5, 2023 8.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
  • Daniel Braganca 33' goal
  • Marcus Edwards 71' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 76' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 79' goal
  • goal Leo Jaba 50'
  • goal Kikas 55'
  • yellowcard Kikas 66'