Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10

Nov 1, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Jose Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
5 - 1
Estrela Amadora

Gyokeres (19', 31', 42' pen., 70'), Araujo (85')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Pinho (35')
Daniel Valente Moreira (4'), Bucca (41'), Cordeiro (44'), Ferro (80')

Reaction

Sporting Lisbon manager Ruben Amorim before the match on November 1, 2024

Ruben Amorim receives mixed reaction in first Sporting Lisbon game since Man United appointment

Ruben Amorim receives a mixed reaction in Sporting Lisbon's first match since his appointment as Man United's new head coach.

Nov 1, 23:47

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Nacional
Tuesday, October 29 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, October 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 91.09%. A draw had a probability of 6.6% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 2.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.62%) and 2-0 (11.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.13%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (0.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Estrela Amadora
91.09% ( 0.05)	6.57% ( -0.03)	2.33% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 37.41% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.24% (

0.11)

23.76% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.72% (

0.14)

43.28% (

-0.13)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.03% (

0.02)

2.97% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

86.58% (

0.07)

13.42% (

-0.07)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

38.56% (

0.02)

61.44% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.63% (

0.01)

91.37% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 91.08%

Estrela Amadora 2.33%

Draw 6.58%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Estrela Amadora
3-0 @ 13.22% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0) 7-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 8-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 91.08%	1-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 6.58%	Other @ 2.33% Total : 2.33%