Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Amarante

Amarante
1 - 0
Academica

Tokinho (88')
Antonio Ribeiro Carvalho Ferreira (30'), Tokinho (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Outeiro (80')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Amarante and Academica de Coimbra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Amarante

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Academica de Coimbra

Last Game: Portimonense 2-1 Academica
Friday, July 23 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Academica de Coimbra win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Amarante had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Academica de Coimbra win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Amarante win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
AmaranteDrawAcademica de Coimbra
35.6% (-0.122 -0.12)26.27% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)38.12% (0.154 0.15)
Both teams to score 53.27% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.62% (0.127 0.13)51.37% (-0.127 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.8% (0.11 0.11)73.19% (-0.111 -0.11)
Amarante Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)27.74% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.69% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)63.31% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Academica de Coimbra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.72% (0.146 0.15)26.28% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.6% (0.193 0.19)61.4% (-0.193 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Amarante 35.6%
    Academica de Coimbra 38.12%
    Draw 26.27%
AmaranteDrawAcademica de Coimbra
1-0 @ 9.35% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.99% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.42% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.56% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 35.6%
1-1 @ 12.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.51% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.72% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.9% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 38.12%