Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cidade Desportiva De Paredes

Paredes
0 - 2
Amarante

Lucky (60')
Cassio (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tokinho (28'), Filipe (59')
Ferreira (32'), Campos (40'), Abreu (89')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Paredes and Amarante.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paredes

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Last Game: Paredes 2-1 Moreirense
Saturday, October 21 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal
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Amarante

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Last Game: Amarante 1-0 Academica
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amarante win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Paredes had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for an Amarante win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.97%) and 1-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Paredes win was 1-0 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Amarante would win this match.

Result
ParedesDrawAmarante
30.39% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)30.01% (0.0019999999999989 0)39.59% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 41.38% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.34% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)65.66% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.65% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)84.35% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Paredes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.24% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)38.76% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.5% (-0.058 -0.06)75.5% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Amarante Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.58% (0.024999999999991 0.02)32.42% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.06% (0.029 0.03)68.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Paredes 30.38%
    Amarante 39.59%
    Draw 30.01%
ParedesDrawAmarante
1-0 @ 11.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.64% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.01% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.78% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 30.38%
1-1 @ 13.41%
0-0 @ 12.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.58% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 30.01%
0-1 @ 14.15% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.97% (0.017 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.56% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 2.99% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 39.59%